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5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026?
kalshi

5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026?

Volume:
$10,392

5.05% or above

 - Kalshi

5.05% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

5.05% or above

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,141
N/A
N/A
$629
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.01% or above

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$989
N/A
N/A
$553
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.99% or above

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$846
N/A
N/A
$588
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.97% or above

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$596
N/A
N/A
$298
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.91% or above

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$482
N/A
N/A
$453
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.03% or above

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
$366
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.95% or above

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$283
N/A
N/A
$283
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.93% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.19% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,601
N/A
N/A
$1,600
Settled
No
kalshi

5.07% or above

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,223
N/A
N/A
$317
Settled
No
kalshi

5.15% or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

5.17% or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

5.09% or above

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
$403
Settled
No
kalshi

5.11% or above

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
kalshi

5.13% or above

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$196
N/A
N/A
$195
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield by setting different threshold levels for analysis. Each market assesses whether the yield surpasses a specific benchmark on a set date, offering varied perspectives on future interest rate expectations. The outcomes reflect varying degrees of yield increases, providing insight into economic forecasts.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury exceeds specified thresholds on September 28, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct yield level, with resolution occurring if the yield surpasses the respective threshold. All markets share a common expiration timeline, closing at the earlier of two times: either 7:00 PM ET on the first business day following the official data release for September 28, 2026, or one week after September 28, 2026. This structure allows participants to evaluate various yield scenarios while ensuring consistent timing for resolution across all related markets.