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5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
kalshi

5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?

Volume:
$10,398

4.82% or above

 - Kalshi

4.82% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.82% or above

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,640
N/A
N/A
$889
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.68% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,614
N/A
N/A
$1,614
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.66% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,214
N/A
N/A
$1,214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.7% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,014
N/A
N/A
$1,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.72% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,014
N/A
N/A
$1,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.8% or above

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$886
N/A
N/A
$386
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.74% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.78% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
$215
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.76% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.84% or above

View
0%
85%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,216
N/A
N/A
$501
Settled
No
kalshi

4.86% or above

View
0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$915
N/A
N/A
$700
Settled
No
kalshi

4.88% or above

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
kalshi

4.92% or above

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$104
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
No
kalshi

4.9% or above

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
kalshi

4.94% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield by setting different threshold levels for a specific date. Each market offers a unique perspective on how high interest rates might climb, reflecting varied investor expectations about economic conditions and monetary policy. The outcomes depend on whether the yield surpasses predetermined benchmarks.

Kalshi

These markets collectively assess whether the par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury will exceed specified percentage thresholds on September 21, 2026. Each individual market has a unique threshold, ranging incrementally from 4.65% to 4.93%. If the published yield for that date meets or exceeds the threshold defined for a specific market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets share a common expiration timeline: they close at the earlier of two possible times—either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day following the official data release for September 21, 2026, or one week after September 21, 2026. This structure allows participants to speculate on various potential yield levels, with each threshold representing a distinct level of market expectation regarding interest rate movements.