TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Financials
5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?
kalshi

5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?

Volume:
$13,131

4.77% or above

 - Kalshi

4.77% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.77% or above

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,055
N/A
N/A
$857
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.79% or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,189
N/A
N/A
$609
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.75% or above

100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,025
N/A
N/A
$625
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.71% or above

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$862
N/A
N/A
$862
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.61% or above

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.63% or above

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.65% or above

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.67% or above

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.69% or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.73% or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.83% or above

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,606
N/A
N/A
$893
Settled
No
kalshi

4.81% or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,542
N/A
N/A
$401
Settled
No
kalshi

4.85% or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,191
N/A
N/A
$409
Settled
No
kalshi

4.87% or above

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$989
N/A
N/A
$780
Settled
No
kalshi

4.89% or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield, reflecting investor expectations about interest rates and economic conditions. Each market assesses whether the yield will surpass a specific threshold, offering a granular view of possible rate changes.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury exceeds a specified threshold on September 14, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, incrementally increasing from 4.60% to 4.88%. If the yield on that date is above the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Expiration occurs at the sooner of 7:00 PM ET following the official data release for that date or one week after September 14, 2026, ensuring timely closure regardless of when the data becomes available.