TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks potential movements in the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield, reflecting investor expectations about interest rates and economic conditions. Each market assesses whether the yield will surpass a specific threshold, offering a granular view of possible rate changes.
All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury exceeds a specified threshold on September 14, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, incrementally increasing from 4.60% to 4.88%. If the yield on that date is above the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Expiration occurs at the sooner of 7:00 PM ET following the official data release for that date or one week after September 14, 2026, ensuring timely closure regardless of when the data becomes available.