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5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 24, 2026?
kalshi

5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 24, 2026?

Volume:
$10,406

4.28% or above

 - Kalshi

4.28% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.28% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,301
N/A
N/A
$2,301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.3% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,301
N/A
N/A
$1,301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.26% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,201
N/A
N/A
$1,201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.4% or above

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$811
N/A
N/A
$537
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.38% or above

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$713
N/A
N/A
$707
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.36% or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$477
N/A
N/A
$477
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.34% or above

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$269
N/A
N/A
$269
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.32% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.44% or above

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,806
N/A
N/A
$1,332
Settled
No
kalshi

4.42% or above

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,207
N/A
N/A
$830
Settled
No
kalshi

4.46% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$216
N/A
N/A
$112
Settled
No
kalshi

4.54% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
$77
Settled
No
kalshi

4.48% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.5% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.52% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield by setting different threshold levels for a specific date. Each market assesses whether the yield surpasses a particular benchmark, offering varied perspectives on future interest rate expectations. The outcomes reflect varying degrees of yield increases, providing insight into potential economic trends.

Kalshi

These markets collectively evaluate whether the par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury exceeds specified thresholds on August 24, 2026. Each individual market has a unique threshold, ranging incrementally from 4.25% to 4.53%, with a corresponding 'Yes' outcome if the yield surpasses that particular level. All markets share a common expiration timeline: they close at the earlier of two times—either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day following the official release of the yield data for that date, or one week after August 24, 2026. This structure allows participants to bet on various potential yield outcomes while ensuring resolution is tied to both the data release schedule and a firm cutoff period.