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30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026?
kalshi

30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026?

Volume:
$14,704

5.37% or above

 - Kalshi

5.37% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

5.37% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,030
N/A
N/A
$239
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.31% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,628
N/A
N/A
$1,600
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.51% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,554
N/A
N/A
$563
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.55% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,526
N/A
N/A
$192
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.53% or above

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,302
N/A
N/A
$493
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.49% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,027
N/A
N/A
$619
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.33% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,014
N/A
N/A
$1,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.35% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,014
N/A
N/A
$1,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.43% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$254
N/A
N/A
$254
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.47% or above

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$247
N/A
N/A
$119
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.39% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$114
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.41% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$114
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.45% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$114
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.57% or above

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,247
N/A
N/A
$386
Settled
No
kalshi

5.59% or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
$318
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of long-term U.S. government debt, specifically focusing on the interest rate for 30-year Treasury bonds. The outcome depends on whether this benchmark rate meets or exceeds certain thresholds by a specific date, reflecting broader economic expectations about inflation, growth, and monetary policy.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury exceeds a specified threshold on September 28, 2026. Each market has a different threshold, ranging incrementally from 5.30% to 5.58%. If the yield is above the stated threshold for a given market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Expiration occurs at the sooner of two times: either 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the yield data is released for that date, or one week after September 28, 2026. All markets share this uniform expiration logic, ensuring consistency across differing yield thresholds.