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30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
kalshi

30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?

Volume:
$10,793

5.18% or above

 - Kalshi

5.18% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

5.18% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,638
N/A
N/A
$1,638
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.16% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,038
N/A
N/A
$1,038
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.2% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,038
N/A
N/A
$1,038
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.22% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,013
N/A
N/A
$1,013
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.28% or above

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$621
N/A
N/A
$489
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.26% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$290
N/A
N/A
$290
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.24% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.3% or above

View
0%
88%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,482
N/A
N/A
$284
Settled
No
kalshi

5.32% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,333
N/A
N/A
$501
Settled
No
kalshi

5.44% or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
No
kalshi

5.34% or above

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$544
N/A
N/A
$394
Settled
No
kalshi

5.38% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

5.36% or above

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$231
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
kalshi

5.42% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

5.4% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of long-term U.S. government debt, specifically focusing on the yield of 30-year Treasury bonds. Such yields reflect investor expectations about future economic conditions, inflation, and monetary policy over extended periods. The outcome depends on whether these yields surpass certain thresholds at a specific future date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury exceeds a specified threshold on September 21, 2026. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from 5.15% to 5.43%. If the yield is above the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Expiration occurs at the sooner of 7:00 PM ET following the official data release for that date or one week after September 21, 2026, ensuring timely closure regardless of when the data becomes available.