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30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?
kalshi

30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?

Volume:
$15,139

5.23% or above

 - Kalshi

5.23% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

5.23% or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,641
N/A
N/A
$2,407
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.29% or above

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,555
N/A
N/A
$1,020
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.33% or above

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,303
N/A
N/A
$356
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.21% or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$886
N/A
N/A
$811
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.31% or above

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$796
N/A
N/A
$788
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.25% or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$399
N/A
N/A
$390
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.27% or above

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$225
N/A
N/A
$220
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.37% or above

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,107
N/A
N/A
$556
Settled
No
kalshi

5.35% or above

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,931
N/A
N/A
$540
Settled
No
kalshi

5.39% or above

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,403
N/A
N/A
$355
Settled
No
kalshi

5.41% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$892
N/A
N/A
$692
Settled
No
kalshi

5.43% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5.45% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5.47% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5.49% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of long-term U.S. government debt, specifically focusing on the interest rate for a 30-year Treasury bond at a set future date. The outcome depends on whether this benchmark rate meets or exceeds various thresholds, reflecting investor sentiment and economic expectations at that time.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury exceeds a specified threshold on September 14, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging incrementally from 5.20% to 5.48%. If the actual yield on that date is above the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Expiration occurs at the sooner of two times: either 7:00 PM ET on the first business day following the official release of the yield data for September 14, 2026, or one week after September 14, 2026. All markets share this uniform expiration logic, ensuring consistency across differing yield thresholds.