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$134.1b

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406,065

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VS.

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30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 27, 2026?
kalshi

30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 27, 2026?

Volume:
$7,030

5.07% or above

 - Kalshi

5.07% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

5.07% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$784
N/A
N/A
$684
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.11% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
$142
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.05% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.09% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.01% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.03% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.19% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,503
N/A
N/A
$1,456
Settled
No
kalshi

5.17% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,227
N/A
N/A
$1,076
Settled
No
kalshi

5.21% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,118
N/A
N/A
$1,096
Settled
No
kalshi

5.15% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$532
N/A
N/A
$350
Settled
No
kalshi

5.23% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$465
N/A
N/A
$465
Settled
No
kalshi

5.27% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$377
N/A
N/A
$277
Settled
No
kalshi

5.13% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$287
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
No
kalshi

5.25% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$274
N/A
N/A
$274
Settled
No
kalshi

5.29% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in long-term U.S. government bond rates, focusing on whether specific yield thresholds will be surpassed by a set date. Such markets allow participants to speculate or hedge against expectations about interest rate changes influenced by economic policies and market conditions. The outcomes reflect precise yield levels that, if achieved, signal broader economic trends.

Kalshi

These markets collectively assess whether the par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury will exceed various incrementally higher thresholds on July 27, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold, with outcomes determined by whether the published yield surpasses the specified level. All markets share a common expiration timeline, closing at the earlier of two possible times: either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day following the official data release for that date, or one week after July 27, 2026. This structure enables granular speculation on the exact yield level, with each threshold acting as a separate but related test of market expectations regarding long-term interest rate movements.