TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026?
kalshi

30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026?

Volume:
$11,938

5.08% or above

 - Kalshi

5.08% or above - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 20, 2026

Closed: Jul 20, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

5.08% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,633
N/A
N/A
$861
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.06% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,219
N/A
N/A
$665
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.02% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,053
N/A
N/A
$939
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.04% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,031
N/A
N/A
$1,029
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.1% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$914
N/A
N/A
$697
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$692
N/A
N/A
$692
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.96% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.98% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.14% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,629
N/A
N/A
$1,594
Settled
No
kalshi

5.12% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,623
N/A
N/A
$1,166
Settled
No
kalshi

5.16% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,066
N/A
N/A
$772
Settled
No
kalshi

5.2% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$520
N/A
N/A
$520
Settled
No
kalshi

5.18% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
$319
Settled
No
kalshi

5.24% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

5.22% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the par yield of 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds on July 20, 2026. The par yield of long-term Treasury securities reflects market expectations for inflation, long-term economic growth, and the risk premium investors demand for holding debt over extended periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the par yield of the 30-year U.S. Treasury on July 20, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific yield threshold, with resolution occurring if the par yield exceeds that threshold. The thresholds range incrementally from above 4.95% to above 5.23%, capturing variation in long-term Treasury yields. The market expires at the earlier of 7:00 PM ET on the first day following the official data release for July 20, 2026, or one week after July 20, 2026.