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404,028

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2,681

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5

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VS.

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30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 24, 2026?
kalshi

30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 24, 2026?

Volume:
$11,694

5.13% or above

 - Kalshi

5.13% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

5.13% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,201
N/A
N/A
$2,201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.11% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,203
N/A
N/A
$1,203
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.15% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,201
N/A
N/A
$1,201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.23% or above

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,020
N/A
N/A
$385
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.21% or above

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
$141
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.19% or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$181
N/A
N/A
$152
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.17% or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
$130
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.39% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,006
N/A
N/A
$2,000
Settled
No
kalshi

5.25% or above

View
0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,312
N/A
N/A
$844
Settled
No
kalshi

5.29% or above

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,099
N/A
N/A
$999
Settled
No
kalshi

5.27% or above

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$731
N/A
N/A
$694
Settled
No
kalshi

5.35% or above

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
$127
Settled
No
kalshi

5.31% or above

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
$118
Settled
No
kalshi

5.33% or above

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

5.37% or above

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in long-term U.S. government bond rates, reflecting investor expectations about economic conditions and monetary policy over the next several years. Each market assesses whether a specific threshold will be breached, offering granular insight into rate sensitivity.

Kalshi

These markets collectively evaluate whether the par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury will exceed various threshold levels on August 24, 2026. Each threshold is sequentially higher, creating a tiered structure where a 'Yes' outcome for any higher threshold automatically satisfies all lower thresholds. All markets share a uniform expiration timeline: they close at the earlier of two times—either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day following the official release of the yield data, or one week after August 24, 2026. This design ensures consistent timing across all markets while allowing participants to speculate on precise yield levels through incremental thresholds.