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400,720

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30,097

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2,633

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5

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30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 10, 2026?
kalshi

30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 10, 2026?

Volume:
$4,691

5.22% or above

 - Kalshi

5.22% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

5.22% or above

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,169
N/A
N/A
$287
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.24% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$673
N/A
N/A
$515
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.2% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$490
N/A
N/A
$359
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.16% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$445
N/A
N/A
$445
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.18% or above

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$348
N/A
N/A
$270
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.06% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
$285
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.08% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.14% or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.1% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.12% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.3% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$407
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
No
kalshi

5.28% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$330
N/A
N/A
$176
Settled
No
kalshi

5.26% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$230
N/A
N/A
$79
Settled
No
kalshi

5.32% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

5.34% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in long-term U.S. government bond rates, reflecting expectations about economic policy and growth trajectories. Each market assesses whether a key benchmark interest rate will surpass specific thresholds by a set date, offering insights into future financial conditions.

Kalshi

These markets collectively evaluate whether the par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury will exceed various threshold percentages on August 10, 2026. Each individual market has a distinct threshold, ranging incrementally from 5.06% to 5.34%. For any given market to resolve as 'Yes,' the published yield must be strictly above its specified threshold on the evaluation date. All markets share a uniform expiration protocol: they close at the earlier of two possible times—either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day following the official yield data release for August 10, 2026, or one week after August 10, 2026. This structure enables participants to speculate on the likelihood of progressively higher yield levels, with each threshold representing a more stringent condition. The consistent expiration rule ensures uniformity across all markets, aligning settlement with either the data release or a fixed post-date window.