TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

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$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

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2,681

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5

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#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 21?
polymarket

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 21?

Volume:
$7,689

OpenAI

 - Polymarket

OpenAI - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 3:27 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

OpenAI

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,009
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Google

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$601
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

xAI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

MiniMax

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$482
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Qwen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Xiaomi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$462
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nvidia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Anthropic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$358
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

DeepSeek

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$348
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tencent

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$338
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Z.ai

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$334
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Meta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

AI lab F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

AI lab G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 28, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 28, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 2, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 28, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 28, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 2, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the OpenRouter AI market share tracks the probabilities associated with different AI labs holding the third-largest market share within the OpenRouter ecosystem the week of September 21. You can view the current odds for each outcome, explore the price history to see how predictions have shifted over time, and monitor the 24-hour volume to gauge recent trading activity. Currently, the total volume for this market is $7,689 and the 24-hour volume is $803.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the predictions in this market to specific analyst forecasts for the OpenRouter AI landscape. However, generally, prediction markets can offer a unique perspective, aggregating the wisdom of the crowd and potentially identifying insights that individual analysts might miss. If analysts widely believe a particular AI lab will perform strongly, we might see increased volume and a higher probability assigned to that outcome in this market. Conversely, disagreement among analysts could lead to more uncertain pricing.

This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the market share data for AI labs within the OpenRouter ecosystem during the week of September 21, as reported by OpenRouter. The outcome will be determined by which AI lab holds the third-largest market share during that specific period. Traders should monitor relevant news and data releases leading up to the resolution date to stay informed.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from AI labs regarding new models, partnerships, or funding rounds could shift perceptions of their potential market share. Changes in the overall demand for AI services through OpenRouter, or the emergence of a new competitor, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected regulatory developments or shifts in the broader tech landscape could also play a role. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves before it resolves.