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2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
kalshi

2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?

Volume:
$15,410

4.75% or above

 - Kalshi

4.75% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.75% or above

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,334
N/A
N/A
$869
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.55% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,796
N/A
N/A
$1,663
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.73% or above

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,383
N/A
N/A
$580
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.71% or above

View
100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,348
N/A
N/A
$1,144
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.51% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,310
N/A
N/A
$1,310
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.63% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,133
N/A
N/A
$1,133
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.53% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,063
N/A
N/A
$1,063
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.57% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,063
N/A
N/A
$1,063
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.59% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,063
N/A
N/A
$1,063
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.61% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,063
N/A
N/A
$1,063
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.69% or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$313
N/A
N/A
$313
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.67% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
$113
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.65% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.79% or above

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$758
N/A
N/A
$755
Settled
No
kalshi

4.77% or above

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$657
N/A
N/A
$357
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of 2-year U.S. Treasury yields on a specific future date, reflecting investor expectations about interest rates and economic conditions. The outcome depends on whether the yield surpasses various threshold levels, providing insight into potential market sentiment regarding monetary policy and economic growth.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield on September 21, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the par yield exceeds a specific threshold, ranging incrementally from 4.50% to 4.78%. All markets share a common expiration timeline: they close at the earlier of two times—either 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the yield data release for September 21, 2026, or one week following that date. This structure allows participants to bet on the likelihood of the yield reaching various levels, with each threshold representing a distinct level of market expectation regarding interest rate movements.