TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of 2-year U.S. Treasury yields on a specific future date, reflecting expectations about interest rates and economic conditions. Participants assess whether yields will surpass various thresholds, providing insight into market sentiment regarding monetary policy and economic growth.
Each market resolves based on whether the par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury exceeds a specific threshold on August 24, 2026. Thresholds range incrementally from 4.05% to 4.33%, with each market corresponding to a distinct level. All markets share a uniform expiration timeline: they close at the earlier of 7:00 PM ET on the first business day following the official release of the yield data for that date, or one week after August 24, 2026. This structure allows participants to speculate on the precise level of yield movement, with resolution contingent on the actual published yield value and adherence to the stated expiration parameters.