TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Financials
2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 24, 2026?
kalshi

2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 24, 2026?

Volume:
$13,206

4.08% or above

 - Kalshi

4.08% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.08% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,300
N/A
N/A
$2,300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.06% or above

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,300
N/A
N/A
$1,300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.1% or above

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,300
N/A
N/A
$1,300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.12% or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,300
N/A
N/A
$1,300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.2% or above

100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,294
N/A
N/A
$1,118
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.22% or above

100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,220
N/A
N/A
$1,068
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.24% or above

100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,218
N/A
N/A
$719
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.18% or above

100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$319
N/A
N/A
$319
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.16% or above

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$296
N/A
N/A
$296
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.14% or above

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$195
N/A
N/A
$195
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.26% or above

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,249
N/A
N/A
$921
Settled
No
kalshi

4.32% or above

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$672
N/A
N/A
$336
Settled
No
kalshi

4.28% or above

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$329
N/A
N/A
$222
Settled
No
kalshi

4.34% or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$214
N/A
N/A
$121
Settled
No
kalshi

4.3% or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of 2-year U.S. Treasury yields on a specific future date, reflecting expectations about interest rates and economic conditions. Participants assess whether yields will surpass various thresholds, providing insight into market sentiment regarding monetary policy and economic growth.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury exceeds a specific threshold on August 24, 2026. Thresholds range incrementally from 4.05% to 4.33%, with each market corresponding to a distinct level. All markets share a uniform expiration timeline: they close at the earlier of 7:00 PM ET on the first business day following the official release of the yield data for that date, or one week after August 24, 2026. This structure allows participants to speculate on the precise level of yield movement, with resolution contingent on the actual published yield value and adherence to the stated expiration parameters.