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2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 17, 2026?
kalshi

2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 17, 2026?

Volume:
$4,589

4.17% or above

 - Kalshi

4.17% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Closed: Aug 17, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.17% or above

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,153
N/A
N/A
$663
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.19% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$902
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.13% or above

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$456
N/A
N/A
$456
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.15% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$372
N/A
N/A
$361
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.11% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.09% or above

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$272
N/A
N/A
$272
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.03% or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$251
N/A
N/A
$249
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.05% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$216
N/A
N/A
$216
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.07% or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
$155
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.01% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
$155
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.21% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$186
Settled
No
kalshi

4.27% or above

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

4.29% or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
No
kalshi

4.23% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.25% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the 2-Year U.S. Treasury yield, reflecting investor expectations about interest rates and economic conditions. Each market assesses whether the yield will surpass specific threshold levels by a set date, offering insights into various possible outcomes for monetary policy and market sentiment.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury exceeds a specified threshold on August 17, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, incrementally increasing by 0.02 percentage points from 4.00% to 4.28%. If the yield is above the stated threshold for that market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Expiration occurs at the sooner of two times: either the first 7:00 PM Eastern Time following the official data release for August 17, 2026, or one week after August 17, 2026. All markets share these uniform expiration rules, ensuring consistent timing across the series while allowing participants to speculate on different yield levels within the same economic snapshot.