TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Financials
2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 10, 2026?
kalshi

2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 10, 2026?

Volume:
$5,686

4.21% or above

 - Kalshi

4.21% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.21% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,286
N/A
N/A
$1,063
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.23% or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,171
N/A
N/A
$1,161
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.19% or above

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,078
N/A
N/A
$1,071
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.17% or above

100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$588
N/A
N/A
$586
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.13% or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$437
N/A
N/A
$437
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.25% or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$421
N/A
N/A
$279
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.15% or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
$365
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.11% or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
$315
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.29% or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

4.27% or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

4.31% or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.33% or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.35% or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.37% or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.39% or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

These markets track potential movements in the 2-Year U.S. Treasury yield by setting different threshold levels for a specific date. Each market evaluates whether the yield surpasses a particular percentage mark, reflecting varied investor expectations about interest rate directions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the par yield of the 2-Year U.S. Treasury as of August 10, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, and if the yield exceeds the specified level, the market settles to 'Yes'; otherwise, it settles to 'No'. Expiration occurs at the earlier of two times: either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day following the official release of the yield data for that date, or one week after August 10, 2026. This structure allows multiple markets to operate simultaneously, each assessing different yield levels while adhering to consistent timing rules for resolution.