TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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2nd largest private company end of June?
polymarket

2nd largest private company end of June?

Volume:
$55,967

Anthropic

 - Polymarket

Anthropic - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Anthropic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

OpenAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SpaceX

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,351
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kraken

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,352
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neuralink

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Canva

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,799
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Epic Games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Databricks

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,042
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Anduril

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,486
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Perplexity

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Stripe

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lambda

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$691
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market tracks which private company will hold the second-highest valuation among a set of major private firms as of June 30, 2026. On Polymarket, Anthropic holds 85.5% probability of claiming that position, while OpenAI stands at 9.0%. Resolution will be determined by NPM (private market valuation data) published on or before July 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, with NPM data serving as the official resolution source. Watch for any major funding rounds or valuation updates from tracked companies before the June 30, 2026 snapshot date, as these will directly influence final rankings.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the listed company with the second largest private market valuation on June 30, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only. If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. If two or more companies are tied for the second highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data. The resolution sources for this market are: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-625e5f47-7ff7-45c4-be95-0305665164bd/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-ab5413cb-1c83-497e-b03e-2ed7ca70117d/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-86eda4f2-01af-4275-9c70-0ff3c347c62b/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5bc8aa2b-22b5-48cc-b54a-1310145b0a86/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jul 1, 2026, after the reference date of June 30 has passed. Resolution hinges on identifying which private company holds the second highest valuation as of that snapshot date. Official sources such as published venture capital rankings, company announcements, or third-party valuation databases will determine the final ranking. The outcome is binary: either Epic Games finishes second by valuation, or it does not. Traders should monitor announcements from major private companies and funding events in the weeks leading up to the end-of-June cutoff, as late-stage funding rounds or strategic transactions can shift valuations significantly.

Major funding announcements for Epic Games or competing private companies will be the primary driver of odds movement. A large Series or growth-stage round for Epic Games could boost its valuation ranking, while similar funding for rivals like SpaceX, Stripe, or Canva could push Epic lower. Acquisition rumors or IPO filings involving top-ranked private firms will also shift market expectations. Quarterly venture capital reports and updated unicorn lists from platforms like Crunchbase or PitchBook can trigger repricing. Additionally, macroeconomic shifts affecting tech valuations, changes in private market sentiment, or strategic partnerships announced by Epic Games may influence trader conviction about its final ranking on June 30.