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2026 Gyeonggi Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory
polymarket

2026 Gyeonggi Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory

Volume:
$10,391

Choo Mi-ae 10-20%

 - Polymarket

Choo Mi-ae 10-20% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 3, 2:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Choo Mi-ae 10-20%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,359
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Choo Mi-ae 40%+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,579
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Choo Mi-ae 20-30%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,900
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Choo Mi-ae <10%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Choo Mi-ae 30-40%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$898
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Yang Hyang-ja

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$742
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks whether Choo Mi-ae will win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election with a margin of victory between 20% and 30%. On Polymarket, this outcome currently stands at 72.0%. The margin of victory is defined as the absolute difference between the vote percentages of the top two candidates, as determined by the South Korean National Election Commission. Watch for the official results on June 3, 2026, when Gyeonggi Province holds its gubernatorial election.

Frequently asked questions

The market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 3, 2026. Resolution will be determined by the official results of the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election. The outcome hinges on the margin of victory and which candidate secures the most votes in the province. Once official election results are certified by South Korean electoral authorities, the market will settle based on whether the specified condition has been met, and traders' positions will be finalized accordingly.

Key catalysts include major campaign announcements, candidate debates, endorsements from national party leadership, and shifts in South Korean political dynamics. Economic conditions, policy announcements, and scandals affecting either candidate could significantly sway trader sentiment. Regional polling releases and voter turnout expectations will also influence market prices. International developments affecting South Korea's political climate, as well as internal party dynamics and coalition changes, may prompt rapid repricing as traders reassess winning probabilities heading toward the June 2026 election.