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2026 Gangwon Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory
polymarket

2026 Gangwon Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory

Volume:
$10,760

Woo Sang-ho <10%

 - Polymarket

Woo Sang-ho <10% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 3, 2:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Woo Sang-ho <10%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kim Jin-tae

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Woo Sang-ho 10-20%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,793
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Woo Sang-ho 20-30%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$930
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Woo Sang-ho 30%+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Woo Sang-ho will win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election by a margin smaller than 10 percentage points. On Polymarket, the probability of a sub-10% victory margin stands at 77.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official vote count from South Korea's National Election Commission, with the outcome decided by the absolute difference in valid vote percentages between the top two candidates. Watch the June 3, 2026 election results for the final margin of victory.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election margin outcome on Polymarket. It displays the current probability that the winning candidate will secure victory by 30% or more, along with historical price movements and market depth. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect new trades and sentiment shifts. Current total volume stands at $10,760, with $2,509 traded in the last 24 hours, indicating active participation from prediction market traders monitoring this South Korean provincial race.

The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026, following the official 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election. Resolution hinges on the final certified vote margin between the winning candidate and the runner-up. If the winner's margin exceeds 30 percentage points, YES shares resolve to full value; if the margin is 30 points or below, NO shares resolve to full value. Official results from South Korean election authorities determine the precise margin and trigger market settlement.

Key catalysts include campaign announcements, regional polling releases, endorsements from major political figures, and economic developments affecting Gangwon Province. Debates or public controversies involving candidates could shift trader expectations about margin size. National political trends in South Korea, shifts in party support, and turnout forecasts also influence pricing. Local issues such as infrastructure projects, employment, or tourism policy may resonate with voters and affect the final margin. As election day approaches, final polls and early voting data will likely drive significant market movement.