TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 11:59 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered. If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Key catalysts include club-level performance and injuries, which directly influence managerial selection decisions. International friendlies and competitive matches showcase form and fitness, shifting trader expectations. Managerial statements or squad rotation patterns signal inclusion likelihood. Transfer activity—moves to bigger clubs or relegation—can alter perceived quality. Age and experience considerations become critical as the tournament approaches. Emerging young talent breaking through domestically may gain odds, while aging veterans face declining probabilities. Tactical shifts by the German coach and competitive pressure from rival nations also drive repricing as the squad announcement date approaches.