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406,065

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2026 Daegu Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory
polymarket

2026 Daegu Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

Volume:
$99,462

Choo Kyung-ho <10%

 - Polymarket

Choo Kyung-ho <10% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 3, 2:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Choo Kyung-ho <10%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$57,914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kim Boo-kyum

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,561
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Choo Kyung-ho 10-20%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,587
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Choo Kyung-ho 20%+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks the margin of victory in the 2026 Daegu mayoral election, specifically whether candidate Choo Kyung-ho will win by less than 10 percentage points or between 10 and 20 percentage points. On Polymarket, the probability that Choo wins by less than 10% stands at 60.0%, while the probability of a 10–20% margin is 38.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official vote count from South Korea's National Election Commission following the election on June 3, 2026.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price data for the 2026 Daegu mayoral election margin of victory on Polymarket. It displays the current probability that the winning candidate will secure victory by less than 10 percent, along with 24-hour volume metrics $43,724 and cumulative group volume $99,462. Users can monitor how market sentiment evolves as the election approaches, view price history charts, and observe trading activity to gauge confidence in various margin outcomes. This single-venue tracker provides transparency into how prediction market participants are pricing the competitiveness of South Korea's Daegu mayoral race.

The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026, following the official 2026 Daegu mayoral election. Resolution is determined by the official margin of victory announced by South Korean electoral authorities once all votes are counted and certified. The outcome will be binary: either the winning candidate prevails by less than 10 percent, or by 10 percent or more. Final results from the Daegu Metropolitan Government and the National Election Commission will serve as the authoritative source for settlement. Traders should monitor official Korean election sources for preliminary and final vote tallies.

Key catalysts include campaign announcements, candidate debates, endorsements from major political figures, and regional economic developments affecting Daegu voters. Polling releases and internal campaign surveys, if leaked or published, can shift market odds significantly. National political events in South Korea—such as shifts in ruling-party dynamics or scandals—may influence local sentiment. Voter turnout expectations and demographic shifts in Daegu could also move prices. As election day approaches, final opinion polls and early voting data will likely drive substantial trading volume and price adjustments, with the market converging toward the actual outcome as uncertainty diminishes.