TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry By-Election Winner
polymarket

2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry By-Election Winner

Volume:
$10,081

Lara Bird

 - Polymarket

Lara Bird - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 18, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Lara Bird

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2.2¢
N/A
$5,701
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bill Reid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Heather Doran

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tanvir Ahmad

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jack Cruickshanks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$551
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person L

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person N

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).

Polymarket

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price data for the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election on Polymarket. It displays the current implied probability of each candidate winning the seat, along with 24-hour trading volume and price movement charts. Users can monitor how market sentiment shifts as new campaign developments, polling data, and political events emerge. The dashboard provides a transparent view of how prediction market participants are pricing the race outcome in real time.

The market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 19, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the by-election as declared by the Electoral Commission and confirmed by the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry constituency returning officer. The candidate receiving the most votes wins the seat and triggers market settlement. Traders should monitor the official election timeline, candidate registration deadlines, and any potential legal challenges or recounts that could affect final certification of the result.

Key catalysts include candidate announcements and campaign launches, local and national polling releases, endorsements from Scottish political figures, major policy announcements affecting the constituency, media coverage of candidate records, and turnout expectations. Broader Scottish political shifts, UK-wide events, and changes in party strategy could also influence trader sentiment. Campaign spending reports, candidate debates, and late-breaking controversies often trigger sharp price movements. Election day itself and early vote counts will drive final market adjustments as actual voter behavior becomes visible.