TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 2:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market uses a logarithmic market scoring rule to set prices based on trader activity. The current odds reflect collective trader sentiment about which app will rank highest, with volume of $3,400 indicating liquidity and interest. Traders buy shares in outcomes they believe are undervalued, driving prices toward what the market collectively deems most probable. Price shifts often follow news about app performance, user growth, or competitive announcements.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Apple App Store rankings for September 4 are verified against credible public sources. The final placement will be determined by Apple's published charts for that specific date and period.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 4, 2026. Key app releases, major updates, or marketing campaigns may boost an app’s visibility and downloads. Changes in user reviews, ratings, or rankings on the App Store can also influence trader sentiment. Competitor performance — such as bugs, downtime, or negative press — might create opportunities for rivals to climb the rankings. Finally, broader market trends like seasonal spending patterns or shifts in consumer preferences around Sep 4, 2026 could affect which app finishes highest.