TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 2:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final ranking will be determined by official Apple App Store charts for the specified date, and the market will settle based on which app is officially listed as the second-highest paid application in the US during that period.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before it settles. Major app updates, marketing campaigns, or new releases from competing developers may influence user downloads and rankings. Media coverage highlighting a specific app's success or issues, such as bugs or price changes, can also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, broader market trends like seasonal spending patterns or changes in consumer preferences around Jul 31, 2026 may cause fluctuations in the market's pricing.