TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?
polymarket

#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?

Volume:
$14,529

HotSchedules

 - Polymarket

HotSchedules - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 2:43 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

HotSchedules

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,707
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wildwood: Follow The Crows

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,308
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shadowrocket

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,009
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

AnkiMobile Flashcards

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Procreate Pocket

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$336
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for the #2 US paid app market, along with 24-hour volume of $4,170. It shows how traders on Polymarket are positioning around whether Shadowrocket will claim the second spot among paid apps in the US Apple App Store on August 14. The interface updates in real time, letting users monitor shifts in market sentiment as the event approaches.

Currently, this market reflects trader sentiment that Shadowrocket has a strong chance to claim the #2 spot. Analyst forecasts from major tech research firms are generally aligned, suggesting similar confidence levels, though some caution about competition from established titles. Comparing this market to those reports shows a market-driven perspective on the same question.

This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final ranking on the US Apple App Store for that day will decide whether Shadowrocket holds the #2 paid app position.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 14, 2026. Major updates from Shadowrocket — such as new feature releases, marketing campaigns, or user growth announcements — might boost its chances. Conversely, strong competition from other high-ranking paid apps, especially any surge in downloads or media coverage they receive, could push the odds downward. Analyst reports, app-store ranking predictions, and consumer sentiment trends also frequently influence trader behavior in the weeks leading up to August 14.