TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
polymarket

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?

Volume:
$4,005

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

 - Polymarket

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 2:10 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ParentSquare

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

TikTok Pro - Events

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$388
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

7 Brew Coffee

View
0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$370
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Threads

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ChatGPT

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price movements for the #2 US free app market, along with 24-hour volume of $3,190. It shows how traders on Polymarket are betting on which app will rank second among free downloads in the US Apple App Store on August 28. The page updates in real time, letting users see shifts in sentiment and liquidity as the event approaches.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects real-time trader sentiment and can react faster to news or app performance changes. Analysts may issue reports based on broader trends or historical data, while odds here incorporate immediate market dynamics and speculative activity. The gap between the two can widen if unexpected events — like a viral update or competitor setback — occur in the run-up to Aug 29, 2026.

This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, the app ranking for free downloads in the US Apple App Store will be checked against official store data. The contract that matches the actual #2 position will settle as the winner, closing all bets.

Key signals that could shift this market include major app updates, marketing campaigns, celebrity endorsements, or technical issues affecting download counts. Competitor performance — such as a rival app gaining sudden popularity — may also influence odds. As Aug 29, 2026 nears, any news that changes user behavior or store rankings can cause rapid price swings on Polymarket.