TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 26?
polymarket

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 26?

Volume:
$21,625

OpenAI

 - Polymarket

OpenAI - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 2, 2026

Closed: Nov 2, 3:04 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

OpenAI

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
18h 6m
Yes
polymarket

Google

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,195
N/A
N/A
N/A
18h 6m
No
polymarket

MiniMax

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,029
N/A
N/A
N/A
18h 6m
No
polymarket

DeepSeek

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$998
N/A
N/A
N/A
18h 6m
No
polymarket

Anthropic

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$936
N/A
N/A
N/A
18h 6m
No
polymarket

Nvidia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$900
N/A
N/A
N/A
18h 6m
No
polymarket

Z.ai

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$817
N/A
N/A
N/A
18h 6m
No
polymarket

Xiaomi

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$789
N/A
N/A
N/A
18h 6m
No
polymarket

Tencent

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$719
N/A
N/A
N/A
18h 6m
No
polymarket

xAI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$640
N/A
N/A
N/A
18h 6m
No
polymarket

Meta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$637
N/A
N/A
N/A
18h 6m
No
polymarket

Qwen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$637
N/A
N/A
N/A
18h 6m
No
polymarket

AI lab F

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
18h 6m
No
polymarket

AI lab G

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
18h 6m
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
18h 6m
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026 once the figures for the week of November 2, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of November 2, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on November 6, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026 once the figures for the week of November 2, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of November 2, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on November 6, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this market tracks predictions about the share of the AI lab market held by OpenRouter in the week of October 26. The dashboard displays the current odds, allowing traders to assess the probability of different outcomes. It also provides a price history, showing how the market has fluctuated over time, and the 24-hour volume, indicating the level of recent trading activity. Currently, the volume is $1,703 and total volume is $21,625. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and potential shifts in expectations regarding the OpenRouter AI market share.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinions. For this market, the implied probability from Polymarket may align with or diverge from predictions made by industry analysts regarding the competitive landscape of AI labs and OpenRouter’s position within it. Discrepancies can arise from differing methodologies, access to information, or biases inherent in either approach. Examining these differences can provide a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes for the OpenRouter AI market share.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the OpenRouter AI market share. The current 24-hour volume is $1,703, indicating the level of trading activity and interest in this market.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the reported market share of OpenRouter within the AI lab landscape for the specified week. The final market share will be determined by an independent assessment of available data, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for this market. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Polymarket following the confirmation of the results.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Major announcements from OpenRouter regarding new partnerships, technological advancements, or funding rounds could positively impact expectations. Conversely, news about competitors gaining market share or facing setbacks could negatively influence the market. Broader trends in the AI industry, such as shifts in investment or regulatory changes, could also play a role. Any credible information regarding the competitive positioning of OpenRouter and its AI offerings has the potential to shift the odds in this market.