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10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026?
kalshi

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026?

Volume:
$34,665

5.04% or above

 - Kalshi

5.04% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

5.04% or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,763
N/A
N/A
$1,434
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.02% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,646
N/A
N/A
$1,546
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.22% or above

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,393
N/A
N/A
$1,052
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.06% or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,354
N/A
N/A
$1,553
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.2% or above

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,124
N/A
N/A
$1,249
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.9% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,686
N/A
N/A
$1,686
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.24% or above

View
100%
91%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,674
N/A
N/A
$543
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.08% or above

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,567
N/A
N/A
$1,061
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.18% or above

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,288
N/A
N/A
$610
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.86% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,214
N/A
N/A
$1,214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.88% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,214
N/A
N/A
$1,214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.1% or above

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,189
N/A
N/A
$836
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.94% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,114
N/A
N/A
$1,114
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.96% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,114
N/A
N/A
$1,114
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.98% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,114
N/A
N/A
$1,114
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,114
N/A
N/A
$1,114
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.92% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,014
N/A
N/A
$1,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.16% or above

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$857
N/A
N/A
$538
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.14% or above

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
$307
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.12% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$159
N/A
N/A
$159
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.28% or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,545
N/A
N/A
$840
Settled
No
kalshi

5.34% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,501
N/A
N/A
$1,051
Settled
No
kalshi

5.32% or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,194
N/A
N/A
$1,161
Settled
No
kalshi

5.26% or above

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,103
N/A
N/A
$474
Settled
No
kalshi

5.3% or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$411
N/A
N/A
$351
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This event tracks the performance of a key indicator in government debt markets, reflecting investor expectations about economic conditions and monetary policy over the next several years. The outcome depends on whether a specific benchmark interest rate exceeds various thresholds at a set point in the future.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury exceeds a specified threshold on September 28, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging incrementally from 5.05% to 5.33%. If the yield closes above the designated level for a given market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Expiration occurs at the sooner of two times: either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day after the yield data is released, or one week following September 28, 2026. All markets share this uniform expiration framework, ensuring consistent timing across differing yield thresholds.