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10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
kalshi

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?

Volume:
$11,219

4.83% or above

 - Kalshi

4.83% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.83% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,614
N/A
N/A
$1,614
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.81% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,214
N/A
N/A
$1,214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.85% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,014
N/A
N/A
$1,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.87% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,014
N/A
N/A
$1,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.95% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$859
N/A
N/A
$274
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.91% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$268
N/A
N/A
$215
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.89% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.93% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$164
N/A
N/A
$139
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.97% or above

View
0%
84%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,902
N/A
N/A
$1,549
Settled
No
kalshi

4.99% or above

View
0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,266
N/A
N/A
$840
Settled
No
kalshi

5.01% or above

View
0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$554
N/A
N/A
$197
Settled
No
kalshi

5.05% or above

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
No
kalshi

5.03% or above

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

5.09% or above

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

5.07% or above

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of a key indicator in government debt markets on a specific future date. It reflects expectations about economic conditions, monetary policy, and investor sentiment influencing long-term interest rates. The outcome depends entirely on the actual yield level observed at the specified time.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury exceeds a specific threshold on September 21, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging incrementally from 4.80% to 5.08%. If the observed yield surpasses the respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Expiration occurs at the earlier of two times: either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day following the official data release for September 21, 2026, or one week after September 21, 2026. All markets share this uniform expiration logic, while the yield thresholds differentiate outcomes across the set of markets.