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$134.2b

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406,422

Markets across

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events

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2,688

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5

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VS.

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10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?
kalshi

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?

Volume:
$11,449

4.95% or above

 - Kalshi

4.95% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.95% or above

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,123
N/A
N/A
$949
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.97% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$867
N/A
N/A
$280
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.93% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$680
N/A
N/A
$480
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.81% or above

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$624
N/A
N/A
$624
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.83% or above

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
$412
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.91% or above

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$324
N/A
N/A
$324
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.89% or above

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
$174
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.87% or above

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$122
N/A
N/A
$122
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.85% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.99% or above

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,262
N/A
N/A
$1,588
Settled
No
kalshi

5.09% or above

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,319
N/A
N/A
$1,210
Settled
No
kalshi

5.01% or above

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$726
N/A
N/A
$527
Settled
No
kalshi

5.03% or above

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$563
N/A
N/A
$345
Settled
No
kalshi

5.05% or above

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$234
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
No
kalshi

5.07% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
No
kalshi

5.11% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5.13% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5.15% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5.23% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5.21% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5.17% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5.27% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5.19% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5.25% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5.29% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This event tracks the performance of a key indicator of investor sentiment and economic expectations. It focuses on a specific date to capture potential shifts in market dynamics influenced by various economic factors. Outcomes are determined by comparing the actual yield to predefined thresholds.

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple markets, each with a distinct threshold for the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield on September 14, 2026. For each market, if the par yield exceeds the specified threshold on that date, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share a common expiration rule: they close at the earlier of two times—either 7:00 PM ET on the first business day following the release of the yield data for September 14, 2026, or one week after September 14, 2026. This structure allows participants to speculate on different levels of yield movement, with each threshold representing a possible outcome based on economic conditions and market expectations at the time.