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$134.1b

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$113,466,932

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$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

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61%

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10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 27, 2026?
kalshi

10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 27, 2026?

Volume:
$9,335

4.64% or above

 - Kalshi

4.64% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.64% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$856
N/A
N/A
$662
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.6% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$471
N/A
N/A
$456
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.62% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$381
N/A
N/A
$174
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.58% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$147
N/A
N/A
$147
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.56% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
$123
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.68% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,929
N/A
N/A
$1,460
Settled
No
kalshi

4.66% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,658
N/A
N/A
$1,124
Settled
No
kalshi

4.74% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$922
N/A
N/A
$914
Settled
No
kalshi

4.7% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$820
N/A
N/A
$443
Settled
No
kalshi

4.72% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$686
N/A
N/A
$486
Settled
No
kalshi

4.76% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
$359
Settled
No
kalshi

4.84% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$317
N/A
N/A
$317
Settled
No
kalshi

4.78% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$304
N/A
N/A
$204
Settled
No
kalshi

4.82% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$261
N/A
N/A
$261
Settled
No
kalshi

4.8% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield at a specific future date, reflecting investor sentiment and economic expectations. Each market offers a different threshold for the yield, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of interest rate changes.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury exceeds a specified threshold on July 27, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging incrementally from 4.55% to 4.83%. If the yield on that date is above the respective threshold, the market settles to 'Yes'; otherwise, it settles to 'No'. Expiration occurs at the sooner of two times: either 7:00 PM ET on the first business day following the release of the yield data for July 27, 2026, or one week after July 27, 2026. This structure allows for precise betting on different yield levels, with uniform expiration mechanics across all markets.