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402,751

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10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026?
kalshi

10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026?

Volume:
$13,432

4.55% or above

 - Kalshi

4.55% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 20, 2026

Closed: Jul 20, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.55% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,229
N/A
N/A
$1,185
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.57% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,717
N/A
N/A
$642
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.59% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,475
N/A
N/A
$996
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.53% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,292
N/A
N/A
$785
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.45% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,220
N/A
N/A
$1,216
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.51% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$910
N/A
N/A
$550
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.43% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$286
N/A
N/A
$286
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.41% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.47% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.49% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.65% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,102
N/A
N/A
$1,039
Settled
No
kalshi

4.61% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,076
N/A
N/A
$761
Settled
No
kalshi

4.63% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$725
N/A
N/A
$502
Settled
No
kalshi

4.69% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

4.67% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

These markets track the par yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds on July 20, 2026, at different threshold levels. The 10-year Treasury yield is a key benchmark for long-term borrowing costs in the economy, influencing mortgage rates, corporate lending, and investment decisions.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury exceeds a specific threshold on July 20, 2026. The thresholds range incrementally from 4.40% to 4.68%, with each market corresponding to a yield level 0.02 percentage points higher than the previous one. Resolution is based on the official par yield data released for that date. All markets expire at the earlier of 7:00 PM ET on the first business day following the data release or one week after July 20, 2026, ensuring timely resolution once the Treasury yield information becomes available.