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10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 17, 2026?
kalshi

10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 17, 2026?

Volume:
$8,111

4.71% or above

 - Kalshi

4.71% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Closed: Aug 17, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.71% or above

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,023
N/A
N/A
$1,252
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.69% or above

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,832
N/A
N/A
$1,706
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.53% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.65% or above

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$390
N/A
N/A
$290
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.67% or above

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
$194
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.63% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.61% or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.51% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.55% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.57% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.59% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.75% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,136
N/A
N/A
$1,136
Settled
No
kalshi

4.73% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$982
N/A
N/A
$308
Settled
No
kalshi

4.77% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

4.79% or above

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
$125
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

These markets track potential movements in long-term U.S. government borrowing costs by focusing on the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds on a specific future date. Each outcome represents a different threshold that the yield must surpass to be considered valid. The structure allows investors and analysts to assess various levels of yield increase risk or opportunity.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury exceeds a specific threshold on August 17, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging incrementally from 4.50% to 4.78%. If the actual yield on that date is above the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Expiration occurs at the sooner of two times: either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day following the official release of the yield data for August 17, 2026, or one week after August 17, 2026. This structure creates a series of binary outcomes that collectively map a spectrum of possible yield levels, allowing participants to bet on different points along the potential yield curve for that date.