TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.6b
24H VOL:
$161,047,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,781,800,361
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,744,915,607
504,917
Markets across
37,612
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,946
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Person 1
- Polymarket
Person 1 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Mar 31, 2027
$
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders actively buy and sell contracts representing the likelihood of each possible outcome. The current market price reflects the collective belief of participants, with the top outcome priced at 33.5%. Volume of $1,471 in the last 24 hours shows how much trading activity is driving these odds.
This market resolves around Apr 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be the individual who appears in the top search result on Google's US homepage for the year 2026, as measured by independent data sources at that time.
Several signals could shift this market over the next few years. Major cultural moments — such as award show wins, high-profile endorsements, or viral social media trends — may boost certain individuals. Conversely, scandals or sudden changes in public perception could dramatically alter traders' expectations and move the odds toward unexpected candidates.