TOTAL VOLUME:
$115.8b
24H VOL:
$58,910,711
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,340,574,887
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,102,578,508
307,732
Markets across
29,900
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,250
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Erling Haaland
- Polymarket
Erling Haaland - Polymarket
19.4%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 17
Aug 18
Aug 19
Aug 21
Aug 22
Aug 23
Aug 24
Vol.
$2k
·
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
$
Description
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders actively buy and sell contracts representing the likelihood of each possible outcome. The current market price reflects the collective belief of participants, with the top outcome priced at 18.9%. Volume of $349 in the last 24 hours shows how much trading activity is driving these odds.
This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be the individual who appears in the top search result on Google's US homepage for the year 2026, as measured by independent data sources at that time.
Several signals could shift this market over the next few years. Major cultural moments — such as award show wins, high-profile endorsements, or viral social media trends — may boost certain individuals. Conversely, scandals or sudden changes in public perception could dramatically alter traders' expectations and move the odds toward unexpected candidates.