TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$143,246,370

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,403,290,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,452,035,386

405,032

Markets across

30,543

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,690

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?
polymarket

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?

Volume:
$4,060

Shadowrocket

 - Polymarket

Shadowrocket - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 2:11 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Shadowrocket

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,843
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Parchment: Agenda & Daily Note

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$369
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SkyView

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

AnkiMobile Flashcards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

HotSchedules

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Procreate Pocket

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds through buying and selling shares that pay out if a chosen app secures the top paid position. The current implied probability reflects the collective view of all participants. Market depth and liquidity, represented by a volume of $4,060, help determine tight pricing. Traders can also use limit orders to lock in desired entry points, influencing short-term price movements based on demand shifts.

This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, Apple will publish official App Store rankings, and the market will settle based on which app is listed as the highest-grossing paid application in the United States for that day. No additional interpretation is needed — the ranking itself determines the result.

Key signals include major app updates, high-profile marketing announcements, or unexpected competitor moves released before Jul 31, 2026. Media coverage highlighting user downloads or revenue spikes can also shift trader sentiment. Any surprise changes — such as a prominent app being temporarily removed or a new release gaining rapid traction — may cause rapid odds adjustments. Monitoring tech news sources and app store rankings leading up to settlement will help anticipate potential market swings.