TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?
polymarket

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?

Volume:
$8,768

App C

 - Polymarket

App C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 2:06 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

App C

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$927
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ChatGPT

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,871
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Vinted

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,066
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Claude by Anthropic

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

NBA 2K HQ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

7 Brew Coffee

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Threads

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$421
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for the top free US app market, along with 24-hour volume of $3,705. It shows how traders are betting on which app will lead the charts on the target date. The display updates in real time to reflect market sentiment and any major shifts in trader confidence as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that day, the app ranking on the US Apple App Store's free chart will be examined, and the market will settle based on which title holds the number-one position at the close of business. No subjective judgment is involved — the public record determines the result.

Several signals could shift this market before Sep 4, 2026. Major marketing campaigns, celebrity endorsements, or viral social-media moments for any competing app can quickly change trader sentiment. Technical issues or temporary chart manipulations — even brief app store glitches — might also cause short-term swings. As the date approaches, analysts will issue updated forecasts, and any surprise releases or updates from competing developers could dramatically alter the odds on Polymarket.