TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?
polymarket

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?

Volume:
$12,745

TikTok Pro - Events

 - Polymarket

TikTok Pro - Events - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 2:25 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

TikTok Pro - Events

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Netflix Game Controller

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,575
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ChatGPT

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,981
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Threads

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$674
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Google Gemini

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$340
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Claude by Anthropic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for the #1 free US App Store app market, along with 24-hour volume of $1,941. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of each app claiming the top spot on the specified date. The display updates in real time to reflect market activity and shifts in trader sentiment leading up to Jul 31, 2026.

This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final ranking will be determined by official Apple App Store charts for the specified date, closing all bets at that point.

Several signals could shift odds in this market before Jul 31, 2026. Major app updates, high-profile marketing campaigns, or celebrity endorsements might boost an app’s visibility and download rates. Conversely, technical issues or negative press could hurt prospects. Seasonal trends, such as back-to-school promotions or holiday releases, also play a role. Traders on Polymarket will react quickly to any news impacting user acquisition or app rankings.