TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in Q3
kalshi

What is the Zyn US shipment volume in Q3?

Volume:
$10,646

Above 3.1 billion

 - Kalshi

Above 3.1 billion - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 10:31 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3.1 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,130
N/A
N/A
$674
3mo 2w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.9 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$806
N/A
N/A
$517
3mo 2w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Above 3 billion

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
$197
3mo 2w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.8 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
$275
3mo 2w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.3 billion

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,974
N/A
N/A
$1,856
3mo 2w 2d
No
kalshi

Above 3.2 billion

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,308
N/A
N/A
$1,504
3mo 2w 2d
No
kalshi

Above 3.4 billion

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,377
N/A
N/A
$817
3mo 2w 2d
No
kalshi

Above 3.5 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$287
N/A
N/A
$242
3mo 2w 2d
No
kalshi

Above 3.6 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
3mo 2w 2d
No
kalshi

Above 3.7 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
3mo 2w 2d
No
Total markets: 10

Description

U.S. shipment volume of Zyn pouches in Q3 2026 tracks how many nicotine pouch units are distributed within America during that quarter. The market outcome depends on whether shipments meet or exceed certain billion-unit targets.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if Philip Morris International Inc. reports Q3 2026 U.S. Zyn shipment volume exceeding thresholds from 2.8 billion to 3.4 billion pouches. Resolution is based solely on the reported shipment volume relative to these levels.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for the Zyn US shipment market, along with 24-hour volume of $1,917. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the expected volume of Zyn pouches shipped in the U.S. during Q3, offering a real-time view of market sentiment and liquidity through $10,646 in total volume.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may publish their expectations based on industry trends and company performance, this market reflects the aggregated bets of traders who react to new data in real time. The gap between these two can highlight areas where market participants diverge from expert opinions.

This market resolves around Feb 17, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will reflect official shipment data for the relevant quarter, closing all positions based on the actual numbers released.

Several signals could shift this market before Feb 17, 2027. Quarterly sales reports from Zyn’s parent company, inventory levels disclosed in earnings calls, consumer demand trends tracked in retail data, and any regulatory changes affecting nicotine product distribution may all influence trader sentiment. Media coverage of smoking-cessation trends or competitor activity could also cause price swings as participants reassess their expectations for U.S. shipment volumes in Q3.