TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 2, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The markets assess whether the year-over-year growth in point-of-sale spending for Zyn products in September 2026 will exceed various thresholds. Growth is measured by comparing sales data from September 2026 to the same month in the previous year, using a panel that tracks in-store and online purchases through receipt scanning and rewards apps.
All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Zyn Point of Sale Growth index for September 2026, with each market requiring the index to exceed a specific threshold (ranging from 93 to 103). The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 indicates equal spending compared to the prior year, with values above 100 signifying growth and below 100 indicating decline. Determination for all markets relies on the first value reported by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement will not affect the outcome. The index is calculated using data from in-store and online purchases captured via receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period of the prior year, and updates daily as new data becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on official sales figures for Zyn in September, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of whether the growth target is met or not.
Key signals that could shift this market include preliminary sales reports, earnings calls from Zyn’s parent company, changes in consumer behavior due to new product launches or marketing campaigns, and broader economic factors affecting consumer spending. Any unexpected news around these areas may cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess the likelihood of different outcomes.