TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 2:45 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T06:30:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T06:30:00Z
Currently, it’s important to note that there are no readily available analyst forecasts directly comparable to this market. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse perspectives and can reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering a different signal than individual analyst opinions. When comparing this market to external viewpoints, consider that analysts may focus on different factors or have varying levels of access to information. The market’s price represents the collective belief of traders actively participating in it.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will move up or down. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, and changes rapidly as new information becomes available or sentiment shifts. The market aims to represent the probability of the outcome as perceived by those trading it.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the change in Zhipu AI’s value during the specified time window—October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET. The final price will determine whether the 'Up' or 'Down' outcome is declared. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Predict once the event’s outcome is officially determined.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 30, 2026. Major news announcements regarding Zhipu AI, such as product launches, financial reports, or significant partnerships, are likely to cause price movements. Broader trends in the artificial intelligence industry, including regulatory changes or competitor actions, could also play a role. Unexpected economic data or geopolitical events that impact investor sentiment generally could also affect trading activity in this market. Any information that alters perceptions of Zhipu AI’s future prospects has the potential to shift the odds.