TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 4:00 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T07:45:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T07:45:00Z
Currently, prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide opinions based on fundamental research and industry reports, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of information and potential outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing assumptions, biases, or access to information. It’s valuable to consider both sources when forming your own assessment of Zhipu AI’s future performance, and see how traders are positioning themselves relative to expert opinions.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will increase or decrease in value. The price of these contracts directly translates into an implied probability of the outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Zhipu AI will go up, the higher the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, offering a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI's valuation has increased or decreased based on publicly available data. The specific data source will be determined by Predict’s resolution procedures, focusing on reliable and widely accepted metrics for assessing the company’s performance. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on the platform following the close of the market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial results would likely have a substantial impact. Broader macroeconomic trends affecting the AI industry, such as changes in investment sentiment or regulatory developments, could also play a role. Unexpected news regarding competitors or technological breakthroughs in the field could shift market sentiment. Any significant positive or negative press coverage concerning Zhipu AI’s performance or future prospects could also influence trading activity in this market.