TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 2:45 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T06:30:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T06:30:00Z
Currently, prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide opinions based on fundamental research and industry reports, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of information and potential outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing assumptions, biases, or access to information. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new developments, potentially incorporating information faster than traditional forecasts can be updated. This offers a unique signal not always found elsewhere.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will be. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly, creating a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding Zhipu AI’s performance.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price has increased or decreased between October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET and the resolution date. The specific details of the price change will be verified against credible public sources to ensure an accurate and objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the resolved result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader trends in the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected economic news or shifts in investor confidence in the technology sector generally could also play a role. Positive or negative media coverage and analyst ratings related to Zhipu AI are additional catalysts to watch.