TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 2:00 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T05:45:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T05:45:00Z
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to traditional analyst forecasts for Zhipu AI. However, it's common to see prediction markets outperform polls and expert opinions, as they incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs through financial stakes. This market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a more accurate signal than individual forecasts, which can be subject to biases or incomplete information. The current pricing reflects the collective assessment of traders on Predict.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe Zhipu AI will perform well, the price of 'yes' contracts will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price is higher or lower than its price on October 29, 2024, at 1:45AM-2AM ET. The final price will be determined by publicly available data sources, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely cause price swings. Broader trends in the artificial intelligence sector, including regulatory changes or technological breakthroughs by competitors, could also impact sentiment. Unexpected economic news or geopolitical events affecting the Chinese tech industry are other potential catalysts. Any significant news coverage or analyst reports specifically addressing Zhipu AI’s prospects could also move this market.