TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 1:45 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T05:30:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T05:30:00Z
Currently, it’s important to note that there is limited publicly available data comparing prediction market odds to specific analyst forecasts for Zhipu AI’s future performance. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and can reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ effect, potentially offering a different perspective than individual analyst reports. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, information access, and biases. This market provides a real-time view of what traders believe, which may or may not align with traditional financial analysis.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing sentiment. Higher demand for a ‘yes’ contract, for example, will increase its price, indicating a growing belief in that outcome. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences an increase or decrease in its valuation during the specified timeframe of October 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET. The final price will reflect the prevailing market consensus at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor news and developments related to Zhipu AI leading up to this date to stay informed.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 29, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would be key catalysts. Broader market trends in the AI sector, including competitor activity and regulatory changes, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news regarding the company’s leadership or technological advancements could also drive price fluctuations. Positive or negative media coverage and analyst reports may also contribute to shifts in market sentiment and volume.