TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 1:30 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T05:15:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T05:15:00Z
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on company reports and expert opinions, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a diverse range of information and perspectives. Discrepancies can arise due to differing interpretations of data, varying risk tolerances among traders, or the incorporation of non-public information into trading decisions. It’s valuable to consider both viewpoints when forming an informed opinion about Zhipu AI’s future.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price will fluctuate based on supply and demand, with increased buying pressure driving the price up and increased selling pressure driving it down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences an upward or downward trend during the specified timeframe. This is determined by assessing publicly available data and reports related to the company’s performance and market position. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual outcome, providing a clear measure of the market’s predictive accuracy.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 29, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial results would likely have a substantial impact. Broader trends in the artificial intelligence industry, such as regulatory changes or technological breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news regarding the Chinese economy or geopolitical events could also introduce volatility into this market, as they may affect Zhipu AI’s operating environment.