TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$223

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 12:00 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$30
$223
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T03:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T03:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of Zhipu AI’s performance is changing over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, which is currently $223. The dashboard also displays the total volume traded since the market opened, which currently stands at $223. This information allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to Zhipu AI.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for Zhipu AI. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and can reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering a different perspective than individual analyst reports. If analyst consensus suggests a particular outcome is likely, we might see that reflected in higher trading volume for that outcome in this market. Conversely, disagreement between the market and analysts could present potential trading opportunities, but requires careful consideration of the underlying reasons for the divergence.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the future performance of Zhipu AI. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in a particular outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all traders participating in the market, and the implied probability can be calculated from the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price has increased or decreased during the specified timeframe of October 29, 11:45 PM - 12:00 AM ET. The final price will be determined by publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor news and financial reports related to Zhipu AI as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about potential catalysts.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 30, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new products, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader market trends in the AI sector, including news about competitors or regulatory changes, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected economic data or geopolitical events that affect investor sentiment could also play a role. Any significant news that alters perceptions of Zhipu AI’s future prospects is likely to be reflected in the market price.