TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$98

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11PM ET - Predict

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 11:00 PM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$98
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T02:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T02:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of Zhipu AI's performance is changing over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $98. The 24-hour volume is $104, indicating recent trading activity. This provides a real-time view of what traders believe about the future direction of Zhipu AI.

Currently, it's important to note that this market represents the collective prediction of traders on Predict. Comparing these odds to external analyst forecasts reveals whether the 'wisdom of the crowd' aligns with expert opinions. If analysts are generally bullish on Zhipu AI, we might expect to see higher probabilities reflected in this market. Conversely, if analysts are skeptical, the probabilities may be lower. It's a valuable exercise to see if the market is pricing in information differently than traditional sources.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of Zhipu AI's performance. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of contracts betting on that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI's performance goes up or down during the specified timeframe, as determined by publicly available data. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result. The market's settlement is determined by the direction of Zhipu AI’s trajectory during the event window.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product releases, partnerships, or financial performance would likely cause movement. Broader news about the AI industry, including regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected economic data or geopolitical events that affect technology companies generally might also play a role. Positive or negative press coverage, and shifts in investor sentiment, are all potential catalysts for price changes in this market.