TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:45 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T02:30:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T02:30:00Z
Currently, it's useful to consider how the implied probabilities in this market align with external expectations. While analysts’ forecasts vary, they generally attempt to predict the future direction of Zhipu AI based on company performance, industry trends, and competitive pressures. If this market’s odds significantly diverge from those forecasts, it could indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet reflected in traditional analysis, or that they simply have different risk appetites. Comparing these perspectives can offer a more comprehensive view.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will move up or down. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the odds you see reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd, rather than a fixed calculation based on external data. The more traders who believe Zhipu AI will move up, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in Zhipu AI’s stock price between the start and end of the specified timeframe, October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET. The direction of the price change – whether it goes up or down – will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the final result on Predict after verification.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 30, 2026. Unexpected news regarding Zhipu AI’s financial performance, such as earnings reports or revenue projections, would likely cause a shift in the odds. Major announcements about new AI technologies or partnerships involving Zhipu AI could also be catalysts. Broader market trends affecting the tech sector, or even geopolitical events impacting global economies, could indirectly influence trader sentiment and move this market. Keep an eye on these developments for potential trading opportunities.