TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 28, 2AM-2:15AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$128

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 28, 2AM-2:15AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 28, 2AM-2:15AM ET - Predict

1W

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Positive

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·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 2:15 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 28, 2AM-2:15AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$5
$128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T06:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T06:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You'll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of the outcome, along with a chart showing how those prices have changed over time. The 24-hour volume, currently at $128, indicates how much trading activity this market has seen recently. Total volume for this market is $128, showing overall interest. This information helps you understand market sentiment and potential trading opportunities.

Currently, it's important to note that this market is driven solely by the opinions of traders on Predict. Comparing these odds to external analyst forecasts reveals how the 'wisdom of the crowd' differs from expert predictions. If analysts are generally bullish on Zhipu AI’s prospects, we might see higher prices in this market. Conversely, if analysts are skeptical, prices may be lower. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market perceptions and potential mispricings, but remember that this market reflects only trader sentiment.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives the price up, indicating a higher perceived probability, while increased selling pressure drives it down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it.

This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences an increase or decrease in value during the specified time window of October 28, 2AM-2:15AM ET. The specific methodology for determining 'up' or 'down' will be based on publicly available data sources, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the outcome. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Predict once it's finalized.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 28, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected news concerning competitors in the AI space could also shift sentiment. Broader economic trends or regulatory changes affecting the technology sector could also play a role. Positive or negative media coverage, particularly from influential sources, could also influence trading activity and, consequently, the market price.