TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T06:30:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T06:30:00Z
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as those forecasts vary widely and are often qualitative. However, prediction markets often aggregate a diverse range of opinions and information, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than any single analyst. If analysts are generally optimistic about Zhipu AI’s prospects, we might expect to see increasing confidence reflected in this market, and vice versa. Tracking the evolution of this market alongside analyst commentary can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts reflects the collective probability of the event occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe Zhipu AI will perform positively, the higher the price will climb, and the greater the implied probability. Conversely, negative sentiment will drive the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s performance moves up or down during the specified timeframe of October 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET. The outcome will be determined by assessing publicly available information regarding Zhipu AI’s performance during that period, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new products, partnerships, or financial results would likely have a substantial impact. Positive or negative media coverage, particularly from influential tech publications, could also shift sentiment. Broader market trends in the AI sector, or unexpected regulatory developments, could also influence trading activity in this market. Any news that alters perceptions of Zhipu AI’s future prospects is likely to be reflected in the price.